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Trucking conditions improved in January, but downswing expected

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Trucking news and briefs for Wednesday, March 22, 2023:

FTR Trucking Conditions Index January 2023FTR's Trucking Conditions Index improved to a -1.71 reading in January from a -6.1 reading in December.FTRTrucking conditions improved substantially from December to January, according to FTR’s Trucking Conditions Index (TCI).

The TCI in January rose to a -1.71 reading from December’s -6.1. Stronger freight volume and rates partially offset weaker utilization and a fuel cost environment that was not as positive as it had been in December.

January’s TCI might prove to be the least unfavorable for carriers for a while, FTR noted. FTR’s current outlook is for consistently negative TCI readings into the third quarter of 2024, although swings in diesel prices could yield some outliers. Fuel costs certainly will be a positive contributor to the February index.

“While overall market conditions for trucking companies remain negative, we still see varied impacts among carriers based on size and type of operation,” said Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking. “For example, freight volume in the van segments looks largely stable or better after a decline in the second half of last year, but more specialized segments are expected to see continued weakness this year.”

Vise added that financing costs have been a negative factor for the last nine months or more as the Federal Reserve looks to combat inflation with higher interest rates, “but those costs tend to hurt smaller operations more than larger ones,” he said. “The recent troubles in the banking sector have further increased the degree of uncertainty as the economy and freight markets move toward a post-pandemic norm.”

[Related: Truck orders climb for the first time in five months]